Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.032877 0.036044 0.039261 0.042766 0.046470 0.050263 0.054433
2025-08-17 0.027132 0.031682 0.036486 0.041911 0.047842 0.054103 0.061190
2025-08-24 0.022875 0.028331 0.034300 0.041257 0.049083 0.057559 0.067377
2025-08-31 0.020638 0.026905 0.033975 0.042431 0.052165 0.062921 0.075604
2025-09-07 0.018650 0.025519 0.033489 0.043250 0.054717 0.067607 0.083037
2025-09-14 0.016850 0.024155 0.032862 0.043760 0.056800 0.071683 0.089737
2025-09-21 0.015143 0.022734 0.032022 0.043890 0.058336 0.075057 0.095584
2025-09-28 0.014199 0.022180 0.032163 0.045141 0.061159 0.079910 0.103146
2025-10-05 0.012569 0.020588 0.030883 0.044534 0.061651 0.081941 0.107348
2025-10-12 0.011412 0.019530 0.030201 0.044601 0.062909 0.084847 0.112563
2025-10-19 0.010585 0.018854 0.029961 0.045183 0.064769 0.088458 0.118614
2025-10-26 0.009998 0.018469 0.030068 0.046184 0.067138 0.092686 0.125420
2025-11-02 0.008488 0.016636 0.028139 0.044468 0.066043 0.092670 0.127122
2025-11-09 0.007543 0.015571 0.027207 0.044025 0.066544 0.094612 0.131216
2025-11-16 0.006687 0.014566 0.026297 0.043560 0.066977 0.096446 0.135168
2025-11-23 0.006408 0.014471 0.026690 0.044881 0.069762 0.101266 0.142856
2025-11-30 0.006040 0.014194 0.026792 0.045782 0.071987 0.105379 0.149684
2025-12-07 0.005616 0.013781 0.026662 0.046337 0.073737 0.108887 0.155763
2025-12-14 0.005130 0.013216 0.026266 0.046485 0.074922 0.111660 0.160918
2025-12-21 0.004945 0.013177 0.026675 0.047790 0.077684 0.116486 0.168699
2025-12-28 0.004362 0.012339 0.025782 0.047162 0.077772 0.117816 0.172023
2026-01-04 0.003971 0.011829 0.025382 0.047234 0.078807 0.120376 0.176918
2026-01-11 0.003713 0.011556 0.025349 0.047838 0.080575 0.123899 0.183056